SML LIVE
The conversational/control layer: ask what is moving, what changed, what deserves attention, why it matters, and which related markets are reacting.
Control surface / conversational intelligence.
REAL-TIME PREDICTION-MARKET INTELLIGENCE · HUMANS + AUTONOMOUS AGENTS
See the move before it becomes obvious.
LIVEWIRE turns prediction markets from quote boards into live intelligence. Detect meaningful repricing, understand what changed, keep the evidence attached, surface resolution and related-market risk, and expose the same intelligence through API, MCP and x402.
COMMAND CENTER: LIVESTRIPE PRO: LIVEx402 AGENT INTELLIGENCE: $0.005x402 5-MIN SSE: $0.005BASE · USDC · x402 V2FREE 60-POINT PREFLIGHTBYOK · NO PROVIDER SUBSCRIPTION
Commercial boundary: humans pay for LIVEWIRE structure and access through live Stripe Pro—currently $19/month Founding, then $29/month Standard. Autonomous agents can pay 0.005 USDC per accepted intelligence packet or 0.005 USDC for one fixed 5-minute SSE market-telemetry session through x402 on Base. The bounded 60-point preview and Robinhood public evidence remain free. External data and AI are always BYOK. Fresh runtime pricing and payment challenges outrank this page.
THE PRODUCT QUESTION
What is changing right now, why should I care, and what evidence proves it?
DETECT → EXPLAIN → PROVE → SHARE → AGENT ACCESS
01 · DETECT
Find the move
Surface meaningful probability movement, velocity, acceleration, shock, new contracts and trustworthy public attention signals.
02 · EXPLAIN
Make it legible
Show magnitude, timeline, resolution context, related markets and contradictions without converting inference into source fact.
03 · PROVE
Attach evidence
Keep claim → evidence → source intact. Missing evidence stays partial or unavailable instead of becoming fabricated certainty.
04 · SHARE
Turn movement into distribution
Major moves become shareable intelligence objects rather than screenshots of a static quote board.
05 · AGENT ACCESS
Machine-native
Expose structured evidence and paid intelligence through API, MCP and x402 without requiring agents to scrape the human UI.
ONE SYSTEM · FOUR LAYERS
Not four unrelated products.
LIVEWIRE — Prediction Markets
The human-facing real-time intelligence terminal: movement, shock, history, evidence, related contracts, resolution context, shareable views and decision context.
Human command center / visual intelligence.
Robinhood Prediction Markets + RWA Intelligence MCP
The separate read-only machine evidence engine for structured public prediction-market and RWA evidence.
https://sml-robinhood-rwa-intelligence.onrender.com/mcp
SqueezeOS + x402
The machine monetization and settlement rail. Agents can buy discrete accepted-delivery intelligence or a fixed five-minute telemetry session without needing a subscription.
GET /v1/livewire/prediction/intelligence
GET /v1/livewire/market/session
0.005 USDC each · Base · x402 v2
GET /v1/livewire/market/session
0.005 USDC each · Base · x402 v2
LIVE NOW VS COMING SOON
Plans stay visible without pretending they shipped.
LIVE NOW
- Production LIVEWIRE prediction command center.
- Meaningful probability movement, velocity, acceleration, shock and retained history.
- Resolution-risk completeness checks, related-market context and evidence-bounded output.
- Observed prediction-market evidence with synthetic odds disabled.
- Bounded free preview and try-before-you-buy preflight.
- Stripe Pro access for humans: $19/month Founding, then $29/month Standard.
- Discrete x402 agent intelligence at 0.005 USDC per accepted delivery.
- One fixed 5-minute SSE telemetry session at 0.005 USDC, with server close receipt, possession-bound client acknowledgment and Evidence-Bounded Delivery handoff.
- Base / USDC / x402 v2 machine rail.
- Read-only Robinhood Prediction Markets + RWA evidence component.
- Owner/internal access remains free.
- Fail-closed evidence policy.
COMING SOON / PLANNED
- Usage-metered, per-second or per-tick settlement beyond the live fixed five-minute session.
- Any unverified WebSocket/WebRTC transport.
- Full market-wide coverage unless separately proven.
- Any unverified alert-delivery channel.
- Expanded sources that are not yet in current runtime evidence.
Coming Soon is a valid status. Planned capability must never be marketed as live capability.
DECISION HIERARCHY
Movement without context is just another quote.
WHAT IS MOVING
Magnitude + velocity
Current probability, short-horizon movement, acceleration, new contracts and trustworthy observed attention.
WHY + PROOF
Evidence before narrative
Timestamps, original evidence, source links, contradictions and clear separation between observation and inference.
RISK + RELATED + HISTORY
Decision context
Resolution wording, ambiguity, related-market divergence, stale repricing and retained probability history.
MACHINE-NATIVE BUSINESS MODEL
Humans and agents can buy differently from the same intelligence engine.
| Customer | Best surface | Commercial model | Current truth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Human | LIVEWIRE command center | Stripe Pro subscription | Live: $19/month Founding offer, then $29/month Standard. External data and AI remain BYOK. |
| Autonomous agent | API / MCP / x402 | Discrete accepted-delivery intelligence or fixed prepaid session | Live: 0.005 USDC per accepted packet or 0.005 USDC for one fixed five-minute SSE session on Base. Free 60-point preview and no automatic spend. |
ROBINHOOD RELATIONSHIP
Evidence component, not endorsement and not the permanent brand ceiling.
What the Robinhood/RWA MCP does
Provides structured read-only public prediction-market and RWA evidence that LIVEWIRE can use as a verified input.
- No brokerage login.
- No position access.
- No automatic trading or wagering.
- No custody.
- No Robinhood endorsement claim.
- No synthetic odds pretending to be Robinhood data.
Where LIVEWIRE can grow
Prediction markets are the front door, not necessarily the ceiling. The larger category is evidence-bounded cross-market event intelligence: prediction contracts + tokenized assets + equities/RWA + related events + repricing.
Observed fact, correlation and causal inference must remain clearly separated.
REAL OR NOTHING
Fail closed instead of inventing a better story.
Non-negotiable: if trustworthy evidence cannot be established, return partial/unavailable. Never fabricate odds, volume, causality, fills, settlement, rankings, customer demand, feature availability, or endorsement.
Commercial-state rule: humans pay for LIVEWIRE access through Stripe Pro; autonomous agents pay per accepted packet or fixed five-minute session through x402. Public preview and Robinhood evidence remain bounded and free. Provider data and AI remain BYOK. Current terms come from the live pricing authority and fresh target-resource challenge.